Nashville Predators at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 4 - 1 Nashville Predators

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 54.6%

NSH: 45.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 2.90

NSH: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Stat	UTA	NSH
Season SV%	0.895	0.897
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	2.93

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	30	29	1	96.7%	3.39	1	2.39
NSH	Juuse Saros	27	23	4	85.2%	2.99	3	-1.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • UTA at home vs NSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	UTA 4 - 1 NSH	UTA	UTA
2026-01-24	NSH 2 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-12-29	UTA 3 - 4 NSH	NSH	UTA
2025-10-11	NSH 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-14	NSH 3 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	15	1	1.10
1	NSH	13	0	0.67
2	UTA	14	1	1.04
2	NSH	23	0	1.41
3	UTA	16	1	0.85
3	NSH	16	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown