Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (71% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 29.2%

VGK: 70.8%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.09

VGK: 3.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 52%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	16	1	0.97
1	VGK	14	0	0.93
2	SEA	18	0	0.97
2	VGK	18	2	1.51
3	SEA	15	0	0.68
3	VGK	13	1	0.99
4	SEA	4	0	0.34
4	VGK	5	0	0.30
5	SEA	5	2	1.99
5	VGK	5	1	1.14

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 70.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.1 - 3.6