Vegas Golden Knights at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights (SO)

🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 40.6%

VGK: 59.4%

Expected Goals

SEA: 2.46

VGK: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 4.0

Over 5.5: 28%

Over 6.5: 18%

SEA

Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA

VGK

Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SEA at home vs VGK: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	10:04	VGK	Goal
2	00:55	VGK	Goal
2	17:54	VGK	Goal
3	01:11	VGK	Goal
3	06:11	VGK	Goal
3	09:16	SEA	Goal
5	00:00	SEA	Goal
5	00:00	SEA	Goal
5	00:00	SEA	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.5 - 2.9