Vancouver Canucks at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-09 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 4 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 69.3%

VAN: 30.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.82

VAN: 2.46

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

VAN

Nikita Tolopilo - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Stat	LAK	VAN
Season SV%	0.901	0.000
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	0.00

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	25	24	1	96.0%	2.38	2	1.38
VAN	Nikita Tolopilo	26	22	4	84.6%	2.65	1	-1.35

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • LAK at home vs VAN: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	LAK
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	13	0	0.84
1	VAN	12	0	0.54
2	LAK	19	1	1.57
2	VAN	15	2	0.86
3	LAK	5	0	0.23
3	VAN	15	0	0.99

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown