Tampa Bay Lightning at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 45.0%
TBL: 55.0%
Expected Goals
BOS: 2.96
TBL: 2.76
Total Goals
Median: 4.5
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | BOS | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.902 | 0.909 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • BOS at home vs TBL: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | BOS 1 - 2 TBL | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-04-04 | TBL 3 - 1 BOS | TBL | TBL |
| 2026-02-01 | TBL 6 - 5 BOS | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-10-13 | BOS 3 - 4 TBL | TBL | BOS |
| 2025-03-15 | BOS 2 - 6 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 2 Tampa Bay Lightning
Expected: 3.0 - 2.8
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