Ottawa Senators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NYI: 39.2%

OTT: 60.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.00

OTT: 3.55

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NYI at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	NYI 0 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2026-03-19	OTT 3 - 2 NYI	OTT	OTT
2025-10-18	OTT 4 - 5 NYI	NYI	OTT
2025-01-14	NYI 0 - 2 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-12-08	OTT 2 - 4 NYI	NYI	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	1	1.00
1	OTT	6	0	0.20
2	NYI	14	0	0.74
2	OTT	11	0	0.46
3	NYI	15	2	1.15
3	OTT	10	2	1.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6