Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (54% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 46.3%

EDM: 53.7%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.93

EDM: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM
2025-04-29	LAK 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.76
1	EDM	14	0	0.69
2	LAK	11	0	0.53
2	EDM	10	0	0.66
3	LAK	11	1	1.05
3	EDM	18	0	0.90

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 1.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2