Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • Crypto.com Arena
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers
🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
LAK: 47.4%
EDM: 52.6%
Expected Goals
LAK: 3.20
EDM: 3.18
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
| Stat | LAK | EDM |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.913 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.833 | 0.837 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.733 | — |
| GAA | 2.27 | 2.73 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 68% • LAK at home vs EDM: 6-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | LAK 1 - 0 EDM | LAK | EDM |
| 2026-02-26 | LAK 1 - 8 EDM | EDM | EDM |
| 2026-01-10 | EDM 3 - 4 LAK | LAK | EDM |
| 2025-05-01 | EDM 6 - 4 LAK | EDM | EDM |
| 2025-04-29 | LAK 1 - 3 EDM | EDM | LAK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:34 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Los Angeles Kings 1 - 0 Edmonton Oilers
Expected: 3.2 - 3.2
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