New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 47.9%
NJD: 52.1%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.93
NJD: 2.79
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 40%
Over 6.5: 26%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | DET | NJD |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.884 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.873 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.925 | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 3.32 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | DET 3 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
| 2026-03-08 | NJD 0 - 3 DET | DET | NJD |
| 2025-11-24 | NJD 4 - 3 DET | NJD | DET |
| 2025-04-16 | NJD 2 - 5 DET | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-29 | DET 4 - 5 NJD | NJD | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils
Expected: 2.9 - 2.8
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