New Jersey Devils at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

DET: 47.0%

NJD: 53.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.20

NJD: 3.23

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • DET at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DET 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-08	NJD 0 - 3 DET	DET	NJD
2025-11-24	NJD 4 - 3 DET	NJD	NJD
2025-04-16	NJD 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2024-11-29	DET 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	20	2	1.67
1	NJD	11	1	1.14
2	DET	12	1	0.77
2	NJD	24	1	1.52
3	DET	13	1	0.80
3	NJD	14	2	1.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 5 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2