St. Louis Blues at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • United Center
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CHI: 41.2%
STL: 58.8%
Expected Goals
CHI: 3.03
STL: 3.60
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CHI
Arvid Soderblom - 4-7-1 | 0.873 SV% | 4.02 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA
| Stat | CHI | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.873 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 4.02 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | Arvid Soderblom | 28 | 23 | 5 | 82.1% | 3.30 | 3 | -1.70 |
| STL | Joel Hofer | 34 | 31 | 3 | 91.2% | 3.10 | 1 | 0.10 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CHI at home vs STL: 4-6
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-06 | CHI 4 - 2 STL | CHI | STL |
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | STL |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CHI | 15 | 0 | 1.00 |
| 1 | STL | 18 | 2 | 1.63 |
| 2 | CHI | 13 | 0 | 0.73 |
| 2 | STL | 12 | 0 | 0.96 |
| 3 | CHI | 22 | 1 | 1.37 |
| 3 | STL | 7 | 1 | 0.71 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.0 - 3.6
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