New York Rangers at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

DAL: 60.7%

NYR: 39.3%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.29

NYR: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • DAL at home vs NYR: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	DAL 2 - 0 NYR	DAL	DAL
2025-12-02	NYR 3 - 2 DAL	NYR	NYR
2025-01-07	NYR 4 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-20	DAL 1 - 3 NYR	NYR	DAL
2024-02-20	NYR 3 - 1 DAL	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	5	1	0.24
1	NYR	9	0	0.44
2	DAL	12	0	0.84
2	NYR	15	0	0.92
3	DAL	16	5	2.49
3	NYR	14	0	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 2 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8