Columbus Blue Jackets at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 56.3%
CBJ: 43.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.18
CBJ: 2.63
Total Goals
Median: 5.5
Over 5.5: 50%
Over 6.5: 35%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
CBJ
Jet Greaves - 26-19-9 | 0.908 SV% | 2.60 GAA
| Stat | MTL | CBJ |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.888 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.890 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.62 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MTL at home vs CBJ: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | MTL 2 - 5 CBJ | CBJ | MTL |
| 2026-03-26 | MTL 2 - 1 CBJ | MTL | CBJ |
| 2025-11-17 | CBJ 4 - 3 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-12-23 | CBJ 5 - 4 MTL | CBJ | CBJ |
| 2024-11-27 | CBJ 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | CBJ |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 56.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 2 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets
Expected: 3.2 - 2.6
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