Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2026-04-11 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 62.3%

VAN: 37.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.63

VAN: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	SJS 3 - 4 VAN	VAN	SJS
2026-01-27	VAN 2 - 5 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-12-27	VAN 3 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-11-28	SJS 3 - 2 VAN	SJS	SJS
2025-04-14	VAN 2 - 1 SJS	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	14	0	0.93
1	VAN	13	0	0.62
2	SJS	13	0	0.59
2	VAN	17	1	1.06
3	SJS	13	0	0.80
3	VAN	19	2	1.55
4	SJS	2	0	0.21
4	VAN	4	0	0.26
5	SJS	6	1	1.18
5	VAN	6	2	1.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9