Vancouver Canucks at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2026-04-11 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks (SO)
🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 55.9%
VAN: 44.1%
Expected Goals
SJS: 4.02
VAN: 3.51
Total Goals
Median: 8.6
Over 5.5: 89%
Over 6.5: 79%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 11-26-5 | 0.877 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | SJS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.872 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.842 |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • SJS at home vs VAN: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | SJS 3 - 4 VAN | VAN | SJS |
| 2026-01-27 | VAN 2 - 5 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-12-27 | VAN 3 - 6 SJS | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-11-28 | SJS 3 - 2 VAN | SJS | VAN |
| 2025-04-14 | VAN 2 - 1 SJS | VAN | VAN |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 16:19 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 05:56 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 09:02 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 17:37 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | SJS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 55.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.5
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 4 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 4.0 - 3.5
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