Boston Bruins at Columbus Blue Jackets NHL Predictions

2026-04-12 • Nationwide Arena

Columbus Blue Jackets 2 - 3 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CBJ: 62.6%

BOS: 37.4%

Expected Goals

CBJ: 3.67

BOS: 2.76

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

BOS

Joonas Korpisalo - 6-8-0 | 0.882 SV% | 3.60 GAA

Stat	CBJ	BOS
Season SV%	0.909	0.882
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.62	3.60

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CBJ	Jet Greaves	22	19	3	86.4%	2.17	0	-0.83
BOS	Joonas Korpisalo	35	33	2	94.3%	4.01	3	2.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • CBJ at home vs BOS: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CBJ 2 - 3 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-03-29	CBJ 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	CBJ
2026-02-26	BOS 4 - 2 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-28	BOS 4 - 0 CBJ	BOS	BOS
2024-12-27	CBJ 6 - 2 BOS	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CBJ	18	0	0.89
1	BOS	5	0	0.23
2	CBJ	19	1	1.20
2	BOS	19	0	1.03
3	CBJ	18	2	1.92
3	BOS	15	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown