Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-04-12 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

NJD: 50.5%

OTT: 49.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.36

OTT: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.28
1	OTT	11	0	0.77
2	NJD	6	0	0.22
2	OTT	19	2	1.57
3	NJD	21	0	1.21
3	OTT	8	0	0.71
4	NJD	9	1	1.09
4	OTT	1	0	0.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2