Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2026-04-12 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators (OT)
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 48.2%
OTT: 51.8%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.21
OTT: 3.32
Total Goals
Median: 6.6
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 23-19-1 | 0.883 SV% | 3.07 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 28-12-8 | 0.891 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | NJD | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.873 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | NJD 4 - 3 OTT | NJD | OTT |
| 2026-01-31 | OTT 4 - 1 NJD | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-09 | OTT 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | OTT |
| 2025-03-22 | NJD 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2025-01-19 | NJD 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | NJD |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.2 - 3.3
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