Utah Hockey Club at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-04-12 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 49.4%

UTA: 50.6%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.03

UTA: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • CGY at home vs UTA: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	CGY 4 - 1 UTA	CGY	UTA
2025-12-06	CGY 2 - 0 UTA	CGY	CGY
2025-10-15	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-04-01	UTA 3 - 1 CGY	UTA	UTA
2025-01-02	CGY 3 - 5 UTA	UTA	UTA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	21	1	1.57
1	UTA	7	0	0.51
2	CGY	5	0	0.29
2	UTA	19	0	0.99
3	CGY	8	1	0.91
3	UTA	21	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 4 - 1 Utah Hockey Club

Expected: 3.0 - 2.8