Detroit Red Wings at Tampa Bay Lightning NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Benchmark International Arena

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

TBL: 55.5%

DET: 44.5%

Expected Goals

TBL: 3.33

DET: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 72%

Over 6.5: 55%

TBL

Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA

DET

John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • TBL at home vs DET: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	TBL 4 - 3 DET	TBL	TBL
2026-03-12	TBL 4 - 1 DET	TBL	TBL
2025-11-28	DET 3 - 6 TBL	TBL	TBL
2025-10-17	DET 2 - 1 TBL	DET	DET
2025-04-11	TBL 3 - 4 DET	DET	TBL

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Tampa Bay Lightning 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1