New York Rangers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 2 New York Rangers

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 60.3%

NYR: 39.7%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.34

NYR: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Daniil Tarasov - 4-6-2 | 0.899 SV% | 2.96 GAA

NYR

Jonathan Quick - 3-6-1 | 0.924 SV% | 2.11 GAA

Stat	FLA	NYR
Season SV%	0.899	0.924
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.96	2.11

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Daniil Tarasov	26	24	2	92.3%	3.85	6	1.85
NYR	Jonathan Quick	17	14	3	82.4%	2.64	4	-0.36

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs NYR: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	9	2	0.82
1	NYR	13	2	1.09
2	FLA	13	0	0.31
2	NYR	13	3	1.37
3	FLA	12	2	1.51
3	NYR	18	1	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown