Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2026-04-13 • Xfinity Mobile Arena
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes (SO)
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 42.1%
CAR: 57.9%
Expected Goals
PHI: 2.87
CAR: 3.75
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 76%
Over 6.5: 64%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 31-6-2 | 0.894 SV% | 2.47 GAA
| Stat | PHI | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.914 | 0.887 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.918 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-13 | PHI 3 - 2 CAR | PHI | CAR |
| 2025-12-14 | CAR 3 - 2 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-12-13 | PHI 3 - 4 CAR | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-10-11 | CAR 4 - 3 PHI | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-03-15 | PHI 0 - 5 CAR | CAR | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 1 | 15:30 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 07:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 10:30 | PHI | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | PHI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 2.9 - 3.7
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