Dallas Stars at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 6 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

TOR: 46.2%

DAL: 53.8%

Expected Goals

TOR: 2.87

DAL: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 4.2

Over 5.5: 34%

Over 6.5: 20%

TOR

Joseph Woll - 15-16-7 | 0.898 SV% | 3.34 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • TOR at home vs DAL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	TOR 5 - 6 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-12-21	DAL 5 - 1 TOR	DAL	DAL
2025-01-14	TOR 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-12-18	DAL 3 - 5 TOR	TOR	DAL
2024-02-07	TOR 5 - 4 DAL	TOR	TOR

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 5 - 6 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.9 - 2.8