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Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 47.2%
COL: 52.8%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.04
COL: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 30-6-6 | 0.920 SV% | 2.07 GAA
StatEDMCOL
Season SV%0.9060.919
Last 5 SV%0.8370.951
SV% vs Opponent0.9170.964
GAA2.732.13
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs COL: 1-4
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-13EDM 1 - 2 COLCOLCOL
2026-03-10COL 3 - 4 EDMEDMCOL
2025-11-08EDM 1 - 9 COLCOLCOL
2025-02-07EDM 4 - 5 COLCOLEDM
2025-01-16COL 3 - 4 EDMEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
209:05COLGoal
215:49EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal
500:00EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Colorado Avalanche at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 52.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 1 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 3.4