Winnipeg Jets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-13 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 60.7%

WPG: 39.3%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.16

WPG: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	VGK	WPG
Season SV%	0.883	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.18	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Carter Hart	23	21	2	91.3%	2.25	2	0.25
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	38	32	6	84.2%	3.75	1	-2.25

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VGK at home vs WPG: 7-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	VGK 6 - 2 WPG	VGK	VGK
2026-03-24	WPG 4 - 1 VGK	WPG	VGK
2026-01-06	WPG 3 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-04-03	VGK 0 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG
2024-12-12	WPG 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	0	0.72
1	WPG	7	0	0.15
2	VGK	23	0	1.80
2	WPG	14	0	0.71
3	VGK	14	1	1.23
3	WPG	11	2	1.40

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown