Carolina Hurricanes at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 57.2%

CAR: 42.8%

Expected Goals

NYI: 2.76

CAR: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • NYI at home vs CAR: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	NYI 1 - 2 CAR	CAR	NYI
2026-04-04	CAR 4 - 3 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-10-30	CAR 6 - 2 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-03-30	CAR 6 - 4 NYI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-25	NYI 3 - 2 CAR	NYI	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	10	0	0.46
1	CAR	13	1	1.22
2	NYI	10	1	1.17
2	CAR	14	0	0.83
3	NYI	19	0	0.90
3	CAR	9	1	0.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1