Winnipeg Jets at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 5 - 3 Winnipeg Jets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

UTA: 69.6%

WPG: 30.4%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.68

WPG: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Stat	UTA	WPG
Season SV%	0.895	0.880
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.68	3.49

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	24	21	3	87.5%	2.41	2	-0.59
WPG	Eric Comrie	36	31	5	86.1%	4.33	1	-0.67

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 86% • UTA at home vs WPG: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	UTA 5 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-12-21	UTA 4 - 3 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-10-26	WPG 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	WPG
2025-04-05	UTA 4 - 1 WPG	UTA	UTA
2025-01-24	WPG 5 - 2 UTA	WPG	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	21	0	1.47
1	WPG	7	0	0.52
2	UTA	29	0	1.83
2	WPG	8	0	0.64
3	UTA	8	1	1.03
3	WPG	21	2	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 69.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown