Colorado Avalanche at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-04-14 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 41.8%
COL: 58.2%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.74
COL: 3.34
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
| Stat | CGY | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.968 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.914 | 0.931 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • CGY at home vs COL: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | CGY 1 - 3 COL | COL | COL |
| 2026-04-09 | COL 3 - 1 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2026-03-30 | COL 9 - 2 CGY | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-31 | COL 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | COL |
| 2025-03-14 | CGY 2 - 4 COL | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 1 - 3 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.7 - 3.3
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