Pittsburgh Penguins at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-04-14 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 7 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 40.9%
PIT: 59.1%
Expected Goals
STL: 2.62
PIT: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 4.6
Over 5.5: 35%
Over 6.5: 22%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | STL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.908 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.800 | 0.810 |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs PIT: 3-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-14 | STL 7 - 5 PIT | STL | PIT |
| 2025-10-27 | PIT 6 - 3 STL | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-03 | STL 5 - 4 PIT | STL | PIT |
| 2025-03-13 | PIT 5 - 3 STL | PIT | STL |
| 2023-12-30 | PIT 4 - 2 STL | PIT | PIT |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 59.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 7 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.6 - 3.0
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.