Los Angeles Kings at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2026-04-14 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VAN: 47.7%

LAK: 52.3%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.01

LAK: 3.24

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VAN

Kevin Lankinen - 6-10-3 | 0.885 SV% | 3.41 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	VAN	LAK
Season SV%	0.885	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.41	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Kevin Lankinen	34	31	3	91.2%	3.38	5	0.38
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	25	21	4	84.0%	2.37	2	-1.63

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VAN at home vs LAK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	VAN 4 - 3 LAK	VAN	LAK
2026-04-09	LAK 4 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2026-03-26	VAN 0 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-11-29	LAK 2 - 1 VAN	LAK	LAK
2025-02-26	LAK 2 - 3 VAN	VAN	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	10	0	0.38
1	LAK	11	1	0.78
2	VAN	14	2	1.42
2	LAK	17	3	1.74
3	VAN	9	0	0.30
3	LAK	18	1	0.86
4	VAN	2	0	0.27
4	LAK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2