Dallas Stars at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-04-15 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Dallas Stars (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 53.3%

DAL: 46.7%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.32

DAL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 7.1

Over 5.5: 76%

Over 6.5: 63%

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

DAL

Jake Oettinger - 35-12-6 | 0.899 SV% | 2.59 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • BUF at home vs DAL: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	BUF 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	BUF
2025-12-31	DAL 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	DAL
2024-12-31	DAL 4 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL
2024-10-22	BUF 4 - 2 DAL	BUF	BUF
2024-04-09	DAL 3 - 2 BUF	DAL	DAL

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.3 - 3.2