Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-04-15 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

VGK: 73.3%

SEA: 26.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 4.13

SEA: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK

Carter Hart - 4-2-3 | 0.883 SV% | 3.18 GAA

SEA

N. Kokko

Stat	VGK	SEA
Season SV%	0.883	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.18	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	Carter Hart	23	22	1	95.7%	1.58	1	0.58
SEA	N. Kokko	26	22	4	84.6%	3.21	2	-0.79

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • VGK at home vs SEA: 8-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-06	SEA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	16	1	1.06
1	SEA	12	0	0.56
2	VGK	15	1	0.72
2	SEA	11	1	0.82
3	VGK	18	0	1.43
3	SEA	6	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 73.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown