San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 55.5%

SJS: 44.5%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.22

SJS: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs SJS: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	WPG 1 - 6 SJS	SJS	WPG
2026-03-01	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-11-07	SJS 2 - 1 WPG	SJS	WPG
2025-02-24	WPG 2 - 1 SJS	WPG	WPG
2024-12-17	SJS 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	20	0	1.15
1	SJS	12	0	0.80
2	WPG	16	0	0.91
2	SJS	20	2	1.97
3	WPG	13	1	1.01
3	SJS	15	3	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2