San Jose Sharks at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions
2026-04-16 • Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
WPG: 65.0%
SJS: 35.0%
Expected Goals
WPG: 3.35
SJS: 2.81
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 23-23-11 | 0.895 SV% | 2.86 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
| Stat | WPG | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.907 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.867 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.934 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • WPG at home vs SJS: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | WPG 1 - 6 SJS | SJS | WPG |
| 2026-03-01 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-11-07 | SJS 2 - 1 WPG | SJS | WPG |
| 2025-02-24 | WPG 2 - 1 SJS | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-17 | SJS 3 - 4 WPG | WPG | WPG |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 65.0%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Winnipeg Jets 1 - 6 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.4 - 2.8
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