St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-04-16 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 61.3%
STL: 38.7%
Expected Goals
UTA: 2.77
STL: 2.39
Total Goals
Median: 3.3
Over 5.5: 17%
Over 6.5: 10%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 38-20-3 | 0.896 SV% | 2.75 GAA
STL
Joel Hofer - 24-13-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.61 GAA
| Stat | UTA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.881 | 0.908 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.882 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.87 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | UTA 3 - 5 STL | STL | UTA |
| 2026-01-09 | UTA 4 - 2 STL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-11-29 | STL 1 - 0 UTA | STL | UTA |
| 2025-10-23 | STL 4 - 7 UTA | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-04-15 | STL 6 - 1 UTA | STL | STL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 5.2
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.8 - 2.4
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