St. Louis Blues at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

UTA: 59.5%

STL: 40.5%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.29

STL: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • UTA at home vs STL: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	UTA 3 - 5 STL	STL	UTA
2026-01-09	UTA 4 - 2 STL	UTA	UTA
2025-11-29	STL 1 - 0 UTA	STL	STL
2025-10-23	STL 4 - 7 UTA	UTA	UTA
2025-04-15	STL 6 - 1 UTA	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	15	0	0.64
1	STL	12	0	0.96
2	UTA	22	1	1.32
2	STL	11	0	0.57
3	UTA	6	1	0.68
3	STL	17	2	2.29

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 3 - 5 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9