Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2026-04-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Win (59% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 41.3%
LAK: 58.7%
Expected Goals
CGY: 2.54
LAK: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 4.8
Over 5.5: 37%
Over 6.5: 25%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 23-29-3 | 0.899 SV% | 3.01 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | CGY | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.952 | 0.934 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • CGY at home vs LAK: 6-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-16 | CGY 3 - 1 LAK | CGY | LAK |
| 2026-03-24 | CGY 3 - 2 LAK | CGY | LAK |
| 2026-02-28 | LAK 2 - 0 CGY | LAK | LAK |
| 2025-12-13 | LAK 1 - 2 CGY | CGY | LAK |
| 2025-04-17 | LAK 1 - 5 CGY | CGY | LAK |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 2.5 - 3.2
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