Los Angeles Kings at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

CGY: 51.1%

LAK: 48.9%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.02

LAK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	CGY 3 - 1 LAK	CGY	CGY
2026-03-24	CGY 3 - 2 LAK	CGY	LAK
2026-02-28	LAK 2 - 0 CGY	LAK	LAK
2025-12-13	LAK 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	LAK
2025-04-17	LAK 1 - 5 CGY	CGY	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	5	0	0.27
1	LAK	14	0	1.13
2	CGY	15	0	0.55
2	LAK	14	0	1.15
3	CGY	10	1	0.72
3	LAK	16	0	1.18

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1