Vancouver Canucks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

EDM: 72.0%

VAN: 28.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 4.20

VAN: 2.06

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • EDM at home vs VAN: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2025-01-23	EDM 6 - 2 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	24	1	1.80
1	VAN	8	1	0.61
2	EDM	18	0	1.33
2	VAN	5	1	0.45
3	EDM	12	0	0.85
3	VAN	5	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 6 - 1 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 4.2 - 2.1