Seattle Kraken at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-04-16 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 0 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 85.4%

SEA: 14.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.34

SEA: 1.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

SEA

V. Ostman

Stat	COL	SEA
Season SV%	0.919	—
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	—

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	22	22	0	100.0%	1.07	1	1.07
SEA	V. Ostman	35	33	2	94.3%	3.42	1	1.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • COL at home vs SEA: 5-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	22	0	0.96
1	SEA	8	0	0.10
2	COL	22	0	1.13
2	SEA	10	0	0.29
3	COL	12	1	1.33
3	SEA	12	1	0.68

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 85.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 5.1

Score Breakdown