Buffalo Sabres at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-05-01 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Win Probability

BOS: 40.9%

BUF: 59.1%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.05

BUF: 3.29

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 49%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

BUF

Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • BOS at home vs BUF: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-03			BUF
2026-05-01	BOS 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-28	BUF 1 - 2 BOS	BOS	BUF
2026-04-26	BOS 1 - 6 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-04-23	BOS 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	BUF

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3