Boston Bruins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-05-03 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres vs Boston Bruins @ 12:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 67.5%
BOS: 32.5%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.62
BOS: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | BUF | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.885 | 0.955 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • BUF at home vs BOS: 4-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | BUF | ||
| 2026-05-01 | BOS 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-04-28 | BUF 1 - 2 BOS | BOS | BUF |
| 2026-04-26 | BOS 1 - 6 BUF | BUF | BUF |
| 2026-04-23 | BOS 1 - 3 BUF | BUF | BUF |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-05-03 at 12:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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