Tampa Bay Lightning at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-04-24 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.7%
TBL: 40.3%
Expected Goals
MTL: 4.04
TBL: 2.40
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 72%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 39-15-4 | 0.911 SV% | 2.31 GAA
| Stat | MTL | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.928 | 0.905 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • MTL at home vs TBL: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | MTL 2 - 1 TBL | MTL | TBL |
| 2026-03-31 | TBL 1 - 4 MTL | MTL | TBL |
| 2025-12-28 | TBL 5 - 4 MTL | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-12-09 | MTL 1 - 6 TBL | TBL | MTL |
| 2025-02-09 | MTL 3 - 5 TBL | TBL | TBL |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-24 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
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