Philadelphia Flyers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-04-20 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins vs Philadelphia Flyers @ 7:00 PM EDT
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 48.2%
PHI: 51.8%
Expected Goals
PIT: 2.57
PHI: 2.51
Total Goals
Median: 3.8
Over 5.5: 24%
Over 6.5: 15%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA
| Stat | PIT | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.914 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.901 | 0.840 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 54% • PIT at home vs PHI: 4-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | PIT 2 - 3 PHI | PHI | PIT |
| 2026-03-07 | PIT 3 - 4 PHI | PHI | PIT |
| 2026-01-15 | PIT 6 - 3 PHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-01 | PHI 1 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-28 | PHI 3 - 2 PIT | PHI | PHI |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-04-20 at 7:00 PM EDT.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.
Like this analysis? Get it daily.
Short, data-driven emails. Unsubscribe any time.