Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-04-19 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

COL: 70.2%

LAK: 29.8%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.02

LAK: 2.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 49%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

Stat	COL	LAK
Season SV%	0.919	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.13	2.70

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	Scott Wedgewood	25	24	1	96.0%	2.24	2	1.24
LAK	Anton Forsberg	30	28	2	93.3%	3.24	3	1.24

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • COL at home vs LAK: 6-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	16	1	0.75
1	LAK	12	1	0.79
2	COL	21	1	1.64
2	LAK	17	1	0.88
3	COL	11	1	0.85
3	LAK	14	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.4

Score Breakdown