Colorado Avalanche at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-04-26 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 5 Colorado Avalanche

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 53.9%

COL: 46.1%

Expected Goals

LAK: 2.46

COL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Anton Forsberg - 6-6-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.70 GAA

COL

Scott Wedgewood - 17-1-4 | 0.919 SV% | 2.13 GAA

Stat	LAK	COL
Season SV%	0.901	0.919
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.70	2.13

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Anton Forsberg	32	27	5	84.4%	3.24	2	-1.76
COL	Scott Wedgewood	25	24	1	96.0%	1.92	0	0.92

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • LAK at home vs COL: 2-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-26	LAK 1 - 5 COL	COL	LAK
2026-04-23	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL
2026-04-21	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-04-19	COL 2 - 1 LAK	COL	COL
2026-03-02	LAK 2 - 4 COL	COL	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	11	0	0.78
1	COL	15	0	0.75
2	LAK	11	0	0.46
2	COL	14	0	0.67
3	LAK	15	0	0.68
3	COL	18	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.5

Score Breakdown