Vegas Golden Knights at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions

2026-05-01 • Delta Center

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

UTA: 43.2%

VGK: 56.8%

Expected Goals

UTA: 3.04

VGK: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • UTA at home vs VGK: 2-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-01	UTA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-29	VGK 5 - 4 UTA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-27	UTA 4 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-04-24	UTA 4 - 2 VGK	UTA	VGK
2026-04-21	VGK 2 - 3 UTA	UTA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	UTA	11	0	0.94
1	VGK	16	0	1.18
2	UTA	13	0	0.67
2	VGK	16	0	0.86
3	UTA	22	1	1.19
3	VGK	9	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Utah Hockey Club 1 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2