Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Ottawa Senators at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
46.1%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
2
Biggest swing
35.8 pp
Home time led
49.3%
Away time led
50.7%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 46.1% |
| 145 | 1 | 05:35 | goal | 1-0 | 67.1% |
| 252 | 1 | 07:00 | goal | 2-0 | 81.3% |
| 326 | 1 | 10:18 | goal | 2-1 | 66.8% |
| 466 | 1 | 14:46 | goal | 3-1 | 83.7% |
| 605 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-1 | 83.9% |
| 613 | 2 | 00:42 | goal | 3-2 | 71.3% |
| 255 | 2 | 15:09 | goal | 3-3 | 47.1% |
| 900 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-3 | 46.4% |
| 258 | 3 | 18:13 | goal | 3-4 | 10.2% |
| 260 | 3 | 19:12 | goal | 3-5 | 1.1% |
| 261 | 3 | 19:46 | goal | 4-5 | 5.7% |
| 521 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 4-5 | 0.0% |