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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 09, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 65.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 43.1 pp
Home time led 43.0%
Away time led 57.0%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-040.4%
251103:23goal1-058.0%
417112:02goal1-139.4%
591200:00period-start1-156.0%
639204:04goal1-233.3%
712205:41goal2-249.7%
256208:58goal3-264.9%
945219:19goal3-343.5%
962300:00period-start3-342.1%
258314:21goal4-386.9%
666320:00game-end4-391.3%