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2026-27 Season Live

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 09, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 67.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 2
Biggest swing 27.7 pp
Home time led 97.3%
Away time led 2.7%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-067.8%
251103:23goal1-079.9%
417112:02goal1-162.6%
591200:00period-start1-164.5%
639204:04goal1-244.3%
712205:41goal2-264.3%
256208:58goal3-281.2%
945219:19goal3-362.0%
962300:00period-start3-362.0%
258314:21goal4-390.0%
666320:00game-end4-3100.0%