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2025-26 Season Live

New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Oct 09, 2025)

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New York Islanders at Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 09, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 68.2%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 25
Biggest swing 41.6 pp
Home time led 48.5%
Away time led 51.5%
The Flood (3-straight)PIT

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-040.4%
251103:23goal1-061.4%
417112:02goal1-141.3%
591200:00period-start1-155.1%
639204:04goal1-230.1%
712205:41goal2-250.6%
256208:58goal3-268.7%
945219:19goal3-335.1%
962300:00period-start3-338.7%
258314:21goal4-388.0%
666320:00game-end4-391.4%