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2025-26 Season Live

St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)

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St. Louis Blues at Calgary Flames

Oct 11, 2025
Calgary Flames pregame win prob 56.6%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 28
Biggest swing 67.6 pp
Home time led 77.1%
Away time led 22.9%
The Flood (2-straight)STL
The Grip (entering P3)CGY — xG +1.7

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
369114:49goal1-063.5%
9100:00period-start0-056.6%
759214:57goal2-261.9%
744214:25goal1-243.5%
709212:41goal1-161.8%
472320:00game-end2-43.9%
507200:00period-start1-071.5%
1081313:33goal2-44.1%
1051311:07goal2-327.1%
847300:00period-start2-260.4%