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2025-26 Season Live

Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)

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Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings

Oct 11, 2025
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob 49.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 19
Biggest swing 44.3 pp
Home time led 52.5%
Away time led 47.5%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
153112:29goal0-223.8%
151102:27goal0-141.2%
52100:00period-start0-055.8%
838218:10goal3-286.9%
790214:55goal2-276.4%
716208:56goal1-242.8%
438200:00period-start0-257.8%
522320:00game-end6-399.2%
361319:55goal6-399.3%
360318:12goal5-397.7%
970306:45goal4-388.7%
915302:38goal3-371.7%
872300:00period-start3-289.5%