Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Toronto Maple Leafs at Detroit Red Wings
Detroit Red Wings pregame win prob
36.9%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
23
Biggest swing
56.7 pp
Home time led
52.8%
Away time led
47.2%
The Flood (2-straight)TOR
The Grip (entering P3)DET — xG +1.9
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 | 1 | 12:29 | goal | 0-2 | 22.1% |
| 151 | 1 | 02:27 | goal | 0-1 | 44.7% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.4% |
| 838 | 2 | 18:10 | goal | 3-2 | 81.0% |
| 790 | 2 | 14:55 | goal | 2-2 | 66.7% |
| 716 | 2 | 08:56 | goal | 1-2 | 53.1% |
| 438 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-2 | 42.5% |
| 522 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 6-3 | 99.2% |
| 361 | 3 | 19:55 | goal | 6-3 | 99.1% |
| 360 | 3 | 18:12 | goal | 5-3 | 97.5% |
| 970 | 3 | 06:45 | goal | 4-3 | 89.4% |
| 915 | 3 | 02:38 | goal | 3-3 | 77.6% |
| 872 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 3-2 | 91.3% |