New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob
65.0%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
14
Biggest swing
42.3 pp
Home time led
10.6%
Away time led
89.4%
The Flood (3-straight)NJD
The Grip (entering P3)NJD — xG +1.5
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 253 | 1 | 13:48 | goal | 0-3 | 15.6% |
| 246 | 1 | 10:17 | goal | 0-2 | 29.4% |
| 252 | 1 | 08:30 | goal | 0-1 | 28.9% |
| 52 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.5% |
| 755 | 2 | 17:23 | goal | 2-3 | 15.2% |
| 627 | 2 | 07:31 | goal | 1-3 | 13.3% |
| 335 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-5 | 2.0% |
| 491 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-3 | 7.6% |
| 1045 | 3 | 16:17 | goal | 3-5 | 2.8% |
| 875 | 3 | 06:29 | goal | 2-5 | 2.3% |
| 844 | 3 | 04:48 | goal | 2-4 | 5.3% |
| 796 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-3 | 14.0% |