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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)

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New Jersey Devils at Tampa Bay Lightning

Oct 11, 2025
Tampa Bay Lightning pregame win prob 42.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 0
Biggest swing 16.2 pp
Home time led 0.0%
Away time led 100.0%
The Flood (3-straight)NJD
The Grip (entering P3)NJD — xG +1.5

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-042.5%
252108:30goal0-130.9%
246110:17goal0-216.3%
253113:48goal0-37.0%
491200:00period-start0-34.6%
627207:31goal1-310.9%
755217:23goal2-320.8%
796300:00period-start2-319.5%
844304:48goal2-44.7%
875306:29goal2-51.1%
1045316:17goal3-51.1%
335320:00game-end3-50.0%