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2025-26 Season Live

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins Win Probability Chart (Oct 11, 2025)

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New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins

Oct 11, 2025
Pittsburgh Penguins pregame win prob 65.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 3
Biggest swing 13.8 pp
Home time led 17.8%
Away time led 82.2%
The Flood (5+ straight)NYR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
104100:00period-start0-054.7%
267107:40goal0-143.3%
600200:00period-start0-140.0%
638203:04goal1-156.8%
678206:06goal1-241.4%
723209:25goal1-317.8%
821216:38goal1-42.0%
875300:00period-start1-41.7%
405305:40goal1-51.3%
409314:12goal1-60.7%
89320:00game-end1-60.5%