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Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Oct 14, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals

Oct 14, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 67.5%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 31
Biggest swing 45.2 pp
Home time led 44.2%
Away time led 55.8%

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
139107:06goal0-138.8%
52100:00period-start0-055.5%
846217:38goal1-150.0%
361200:00period-start0-137.9%
1001304:56goal2-254.2%
900301:23goal1-224.1%
892300:00period-start1-154.8%
476401:19game-end3-289.1%
1257401:19goal3-2100.0%
1244400:00period-start2-255.5%