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Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals Win Probability Chart (Oct 14, 2025)

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Tampa Bay Lightning at Washington Capitals

Oct 14, 2025
Washington Capitals pregame win prob 61.7%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOT Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 30.3 pp
Home time led 47.6%
Away time led 52.4%
The Flood (2-straight)WSH

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-061.7%
139107:06goal0-146.9%
361200:00period-start0-143.3%
846217:38goal1-160.7%
892300:00period-start1-160.9%
900301:23goal1-231.7%
1001304:56goal2-261.0%
1244400:00period-start2-262.3%
1257401:19goal3-292.1%
476401:19game-end3-2100.0%