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2026-27 Season Live

Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Oct 28, 2025)

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Calgary Flames at Toronto Maple Leafs

Oct 28, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 54.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 4
Biggest swing 38.0 pp
Home time led 66.4%
Away time led 33.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
102100:00period-start0-054.8%
170104:33goal0-137.4%
637200:00period-start0-135.4%
724203:13goal1-155.9%
457217:55goal1-228.2%
952219:25goal2-255.5%
962300:00period-start2-255.5%
255303:45goal3-282.4%
1185314:49goal3-353.3%
1238317:56goal4-391.5%
522320:00game-end4-3100.0%