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2025-26 Season Live

Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs Win Probability Chart (Nov 03, 2025)

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Pittsburgh Penguins at Toronto Maple Leafs

Nov 03, 2025
Toronto Maple Leafs pregame win prob 59.8%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 End Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 16
Biggest swing 71.0 pp
Home time led 25.9%
Away time led 74.1%
The Flood (4+ straight)TOR

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
204117:56goal0-220.8%
342113:08goal0-134.2%
52100:00period-start0-055.2%
759211:50goal0-38.1%
504200:00period-start0-222.3%
571320:00game-end4-391.0%
1091313:43goal4-374.4%
989306:55goal3-326.7%
958304:47goal2-317.7%
942303:31goal1-36.2%
888300:00period-start0-34.7%