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Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens Win Probability Chart (Nov 04, 2025)

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Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens

Nov 04, 2025
Montreal Canadiens pregame win prob 54.3%

Win Probability Timeline

Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
0%25%50%75%100%P1 EndP2 EndP3 EndOTSO Home Win Probability Game Time
Lead changes 5
Biggest swing 36.2 pp
Home time led 23.7%
Away time led 76.3%
The Flood (4+ straight)MTL

Key Moments

Goals, period starts, and game end.
#PeriodTimeEventScoreHome Win Prob
52100:00period-start0-054.3%
77101:56goal0-136.6%
154107:07goal0-223.6%
161107:50goal0-314.2%
436200:00period-start0-36.9%
480203:12goal1-317.4%
496204:15goal2-329.5%
679213:28goal3-348.9%
717215:57goal4-371.0%
777300:00period-start4-373.9%
918310:51goal4-446.6%
1044400:00period-start4-448.9%
522500:00period-start4-448.5%
315500:00goal4-448.5%
527500:00game-end4-448.5%