Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights Win Probability Chart (Nov 06, 2025)
In-Game Dashboard
Tampa Bay Lightning at Vegas Golden Knights
Vegas Golden Knights pregame win prob
61.7%
Win Probability Timeline
Goals are marked on the curve. Period markers show regulation pacing.
Lead changes
29
Biggest swing
35.6 pp
Home time led
40.4%
Away time led
59.6%
The Flood (3-straight)TBL
The Grip (entering P3)TBL — xG +1.5
Key Moments
Goals, period starts, and game end.| # | Period | Time | Event | Score | Home Win Prob |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54 | 1 | 00:00 | period-start | 0-0 | 55.2% |
| 197 | 1 | 07:25 | goal | 1-0 | 62.8% |
| 360 | 1 | 15:53 | goal | 2-0 | 82.5% |
| 466 | 2 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-0 | 84.5% |
| 469 | 2 | 00:36 | goal | 2-1 | 69.6% |
| 563 | 2 | 03:28 | goal | 2-2 | 37.4% |
| 763 | 3 | 00:00 | period-start | 2-2 | 54.6% |
| 793 | 3 | 02:47 | goal | 2-3 | 16.1% |
| 807 | 3 | 03:37 | goal | 3-3 | 27.0% |
| 815 | 3 | 04:12 | goal | 3-4 | 13.6% |
| 993 | 3 | 14:13 | goal | 3-5 | 4.3% |
| 1052 | 3 | 19:13 | goal | 3-6 | 0.8% |
| 507 | 3 | 20:00 | game-end | 3-6 | 0.9% |